Ah, the joys of political science…
A Clinton win, if not impossible, is at least highly unlikely.
Archive for the ‘Caucuses’ Category
Obama Wins Texas
99 delegates to 94.
This advantage comes from the big win in the caucus, which Obama always seems to enjoy. He actually hasn’t lost a single one yet, which is something that I put down to the reasoned, extended nature and the fact that racism is far harder to hide amongst your peers than alone in a booth.
This is a win but I doubt that it will have the impact you’d expect of one: it may not make headlines where it matters and the momentum provided to Clinton by her “Win” probably exceeds 5 delegates in its worth. I suspect that the caucuses not counting, since Clinton can’t seem to win them and thus they must be considered invalid and void.
Rather baffling here, though, given that it seems the caucus may well not have been victim to an effect which was present in the primaries: The Limbaugh Factor. It seems that the arch-rightist talk show hosts’ failure to kill McCain’s campaign, despite concentrated effort and vast amounts of raw determination to thwart the RINO, has not heralded the end of his influence.
No, his has arisen from his crypt of the movers and handed Clinton a publicity coup that reinvigorated her campaign and ensured that she would not depart. Of all the turn-a rounds for this campaign this truly is the most jaw-dropping, yet also the most right. Clinton has always been the figure that conservatives love to despise, she has invigorated them and given them focus for the fury that flows through their veins without cease.
They loathe her utterly yet the establishment can not bear, can not cope, with the prospect of her ever truly leaving them. So the prospect of protecting her, despite their protestations as to their disdain, coupled with the opportunity to inflict political damage upon the Democrats {even if it is advantage McCain} has proven an irresistable prospect to these grouchy partisans.
However this also constitutes another striking suspension of political norms that has been triggered purely by Obama, if not on this occasion in his favour: to have brought Rush and Hillary together, to make the union that seems both nauseating and sickening and entirely appropriate and apt at once actually occur, is an achievement bordering upon the mystical. If anyone had told me that this would be how her win was arranged prior to encountered Obama I would have deemed them not a contemporary Cassandra but stark raving mad.
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