Pr-Ca…Well…Who knows WHAT Texas does…That
I am not {I have assured my aching body} going to stay up tonight to cover the primaries/caucuses.
Thus far the data suggests a strong lead for Obama in Texas, although this is only the primaries and the urban areas are the ones that {as ever} have reported back first. I am no analyst of such matters but given that the loathsome Penn’s excuse for many of Clinton’s failures was the caucus system somehow favouring Obama the fact that they have not yet reported back is a worrying indication for her.
Ohio looks set for a narrow Clinton win. As everyone suspected.
What they might not have anticipated is just how close it looks. Things seem very tight and although they could flux at the moment it seems like Hillary will have a hard time milking her win for actual delegates, or a great degree of kudos given the scrape-through.
Thus far nothing to suggest that the basic expectations of the night will be altered: Obama does not succeed enough to cause Clinton to drop out and she continues to claw her hold deeper even as the earth she clings to slips away between her talons. Obama wins but only after a lengthy and protracted process involving, most likely, a race than lasts as long as the convention.
That said, all the early numbers could have lead me horribly ary and been utterly misleading. It could swing somewhere else.
Hrm…Perhaps I should stay up after all…
Leave a Reply